Título : |
The Global Evolution of In ammatory Bowel Disease across Four Epidemiologic Stages |
Tipo de documento : |
documento electrónico |
Autores : |
Fabián Juliao Baños, Autor |
Fecha de publicación : |
2024 |
Títulos uniformes : |
Nature Communications
|
Idioma : |
Inglés (eng) |
Resumen : |
During the 20th century, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) was considered a disease of early-industrialized regions in North America, Europe, and Oceania. At the turn of the 21st century, incidence of IBD increased in newly-industrialized and emerging regions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, while prevalence in early-industrialized regions started to grow steadily. Changes in incidence and prevalence denote evolution of IBD across four epidemiologic stages: Stage 1 (Emergence), characterized by low incidence and prevalence; stage 2 (Acceleration in Incidence), characterized by rapidly rising incidence and low prevalence; and stage 3 (Compounding Prevalence), characterized by decelerating, plateauing, or declining incidence and steadily rising prevalence. A fourth stage (Prevalence Equilibrium) has been proposed where the slope of prevalence plateaus due to shifting demographics of an aging IBD population, but it has not yet been evidenced. To date, these stages have been theoretical without specific incidence/prevalence indicators defining transition points. Using real-world data from 490 population-based studies comprising 80 global regions and spanning over a century (1920–2023), we show spatiotemporal transitions across stages 1–3 and model transition towards stage 4. Understanding the evolution of IBD across epidemiologic stages allows healthcare systems to better prepare for the future worldwide burden of IBD. |
Mención de responsabilidad : |
Lindsay Hracs # 1, Joseph W Windsor # 1, Julia Gorospe 1, Michael Cummings 2, Stephanie Coward 1, Michael J Buie 1, Joshua Quan 1, Quinn Goddard 1, Léa Caplan 1, Ante Markovinovi? 1, Tyler Williamson 2, Yvonne Abbey 3, Murdani Abdullah 4, Maria T Abreu 5 6, Vineet Ahuja 6 7, Raja Affendi Raja Ali 8, Mansour Altuwaijri 9, Domingo Balderramo 10, Rupa Banerjee 6 11, Eric I Benchimol 12 13 14 15, Charles N Bernstein 6 16, Eduard Brunet-Mas 17 18 19, Johan Burisch 6 20 21 22, Vui Heng Chong 23, Iris Dotan 6 24, Usha Dutta 25, Sara El Ouali 26 27, Angela Forbes 28, Anders Forss 29, Richard Gearry 6 28, Viet Hang Dao 30, Juanda Leo Hartono 31 32, Ida Hilmi 33, Phoebe Hodges 34 35, Gareth-Rhys Jones 36, Fabián Juliao-Baños 37, Jamilya Kaibullayeva 38 39, Paul Kelly 34 35, Taku Kobayashi 40 41, Paulo Gustavo Kotze 6 42, Peter L Lakatos 6 43 44, Charlie W Lees 45 46, Julajak Limsrivilai 47, Bobby Lo 20 21, Edward V Loftus Jr 6 48, Jonas F Ludvigsson 29 49, Joyce W Y Mak 50, YingLei Miao 51 52, K |
Referencia : |
Nature . 2025 Jun;642(8067):458-466 |
DOI (Digital Object Identifier) : |
10.1038/s41586-025-08940-0. Epub 2025 Apr 30 |
PMID : |
40307548 |
Derechos de uso : |
CC BY-NC-ND |
En línea : |
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40307548/ |
Enlace permanente : |
https://hospitalpablotobon.cloudbiteca.com/pmb/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_dis |
The Global Evolution of In ammatory Bowel Disease across Four Epidemiologic Stages [documento electrónico] / Fabián Juliao Baños, Autor . - 2024. Obra : Nature CommunicationsIdioma : Inglés ( eng)
Resumen : |
During the 20th century, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) was considered a disease of early-industrialized regions in North America, Europe, and Oceania. At the turn of the 21st century, incidence of IBD increased in newly-industrialized and emerging regions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, while prevalence in early-industrialized regions started to grow steadily. Changes in incidence and prevalence denote evolution of IBD across four epidemiologic stages: Stage 1 (Emergence), characterized by low incidence and prevalence; stage 2 (Acceleration in Incidence), characterized by rapidly rising incidence and low prevalence; and stage 3 (Compounding Prevalence), characterized by decelerating, plateauing, or declining incidence and steadily rising prevalence. A fourth stage (Prevalence Equilibrium) has been proposed where the slope of prevalence plateaus due to shifting demographics of an aging IBD population, but it has not yet been evidenced. To date, these stages have been theoretical without specific incidence/prevalence indicators defining transition points. Using real-world data from 490 population-based studies comprising 80 global regions and spanning over a century (1920–2023), we show spatiotemporal transitions across stages 1–3 and model transition towards stage 4. Understanding the evolution of IBD across epidemiologic stages allows healthcare systems to better prepare for the future worldwide burden of IBD. |
Mención de responsabilidad : |
Lindsay Hracs # 1, Joseph W Windsor # 1, Julia Gorospe 1, Michael Cummings 2, Stephanie Coward 1, Michael J Buie 1, Joshua Quan 1, Quinn Goddard 1, Léa Caplan 1, Ante Markovinovi? 1, Tyler Williamson 2, Yvonne Abbey 3, Murdani Abdullah 4, Maria T Abreu 5 6, Vineet Ahuja 6 7, Raja Affendi Raja Ali 8, Mansour Altuwaijri 9, Domingo Balderramo 10, Rupa Banerjee 6 11, Eric I Benchimol 12 13 14 15, Charles N Bernstein 6 16, Eduard Brunet-Mas 17 18 19, Johan Burisch 6 20 21 22, Vui Heng Chong 23, Iris Dotan 6 24, Usha Dutta 25, Sara El Ouali 26 27, Angela Forbes 28, Anders Forss 29, Richard Gearry 6 28, Viet Hang Dao 30, Juanda Leo Hartono 31 32, Ida Hilmi 33, Phoebe Hodges 34 35, Gareth-Rhys Jones 36, Fabián Juliao-Baños 37, Jamilya Kaibullayeva 38 39, Paul Kelly 34 35, Taku Kobayashi 40 41, Paulo Gustavo Kotze 6 42, Peter L Lakatos 6 43 44, Charlie W Lees 45 46, Julajak Limsrivilai 47, Bobby Lo 20 21, Edward V Loftus Jr 6 48, Jonas F Ludvigsson 29 49, Joyce W Y Mak 50, YingLei Miao 51 52, K |
Referencia : |
Nature . 2025 Jun;642(8067):458-466 |
DOI (Digital Object Identifier) : |
10.1038/s41586-025-08940-0. Epub 2025 Apr 30 |
PMID : |
40307548 |
Derechos de uso : |
CC BY-NC-ND |
En línea : |
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40307548/ |
Enlace permanente : |
https://hospitalpablotobon.cloudbiteca.com/pmb/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_dis |
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